Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001126 0.001219 0.001318 0.001432 0.001559 0.001698 0.001862
2026-02-01 0.000959 0.001079 0.001213 0.001376 0.001570 0.001796 0.002081
2026-02-08 0.000855 0.000987 0.001141 0.001335 0.001577 0.001873 0.002268
2026-02-15 0.000788 0.000929 0.001098 0.001319 0.001605 0.001969 0.002480
2026-02-22 0.000727 0.000871 0.001048 0.001286 0.001603 0.002021 0.002633
2026-03-01 0.000668 0.000811 0.000990 0.001236 0.001572 0.002029 0.002721
2026-03-08 0.000630 0.000775 0.000959 0.001218 0.001581 0.002088 0.002886
2026-03-15 0.000594 0.000739 0.000926 0.001194 0.001577 0.002128 0.003023
2026-03-22 0.000547 0.000686 0.000867 0.001129 0.001510 0.002068 0.002997
2026-03-29 0.000519 0.000655 0.000836 0.001102 0.001496 0.002085 0.003094
2026-04-05 0.000508 0.000648 0.000837 0.001120 0.001548 0.002208 0.003378
2026-04-12 0.000491 0.000633 0.000825 0.001118 0.001569 0.002282 0.003586
2026-04-19 0.000529 0.000697 0.000933 0.001306 0.001912 0.002931 0.004971
2026-04-26 0.000495 0.000657 0.000887 0.001256 0.001867 0.002921 0.005103
2026-05-03 0.000467 0.000624 0.000851 0.001220 0.001842 0.002942 0.005301
2026-05-10 0.000447 0.000603 0.000831 0.001206 0.001853 0.003029 0.005658
2026-05-17 0.000425 0.000577 0.000802 0.001176 0.001834 0.003055 0.005882
2026-05-24 0.000401 0.000548 0.000765 0.001132 0.001784 0.003019 0.005952
2026-05-31 0.000386 0.000530 0.000746 0.001116 0.001785 0.003080 0.006273
2026-06-07 0.000370 0.000511 0.000725 0.001094 0.001773 0.003115 0.006533
2026-06-14 0.000347 0.000481 0.000684 0.001037 0.001688 0.002990 0.006354
2026-06-21 0.000333 0.000464 0.000663 0.001013 0.001667 0.002997 0.006534
2026-06-28 0.000328 0.000461 0.000665 0.001029 0.001724 0.003181 0.007247